Viral clearance as a surrogate of clinical efficacy for COVID-19 therapies in outpatients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Surrogates of antiviral efficacy are needed for COVID-19. We aimed to investigate the relationship between the virological effect of treatment and clinical efficacy as measured by progression to severe disease in outpatients treated for mild-to-moderate COVID-19. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Scopus, and medRxiv from database inception to Aug 16, 2023, for randomised placebo-controlled trials that tested virus-directed treatments (ie, any monoclonal antibodies, convalescent plasma, or antivirals) in non-hospitalised individuals with COVID-19. We only included studies that reported both clinical outcomes (ie, rate of disease progression to hospitalisation or death) and virological outcomes (ie, viral load within the first 7 days of treatment). We extracted summary data from eligible reports, with discrepancies resolved through discussion. We used an established meta-regression model with random effects to assess the association between clinical efficacy and virological treatment effect, and calculated I2 to quantify residual study heterogeneity. FINDINGS: We identified 1718 unique studies, of which 22 (with a total of 16 684 participants) met the inclusion criteria, and were in primarily unvaccinated individuals. Risk of bias was assessed as low in 19 of 22 studies for clinical outcomes, whereas for virological outcomes, a high risk of bias was assessed in 11 studies, some risk in ten studies, and a low risk in one study. The unadjusted relative risk of disease progression for each extra log10 copies per mL reduction in viral load in treated compared with placebo groups was 0·12 (95% CI 0·04-0·34; p<0·0001) on day 3, 0·20 (0·08-0·50; p=0·0006) on day 5, and 0·53 (0·30-0·94; p=0·030) on day 7. The residual heterogeneity in our meta-regression was estimated as low (I2=0% [0-53] on day 3, 0% [0-71] on day 5, and 0% [0-43] on day 7). INTERPRETATION: Despite the aggregation of studies with differing designs, and evidence of risk of bias in some virological outcomes, this review provides evidence that treatment-induced acceleration of viral clearance within the first 5 days after treatment is a potential surrogate of clinical efficacy to prevent hospitalisation with COVID-19. This work supports the use of viral clearance as an early phase clinical trial endpoint of therapeutic efficacy. FUNDING: Australian Government Department of Health, Medical Research Future Fund, and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

Associations between change in BMI and the risk of hypertension and dyslipidaemia in people receiving integrase strand-transfer inhibitors, tenofovir alafenamide, or both compared with other contemporary antiretroviral regimens: a multicentre, prospective observational study from the RESPOND consortium cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Integrase strand-transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) and tenofovir alafenamide have been associated with weight gain in several clinical trials and observational cohorts. However, whether weight gain associated with INSTIs and tenofovir alafenamide confers a higher risk of weight-related clinical events is unclear. We aimed to assess whether changes in BMI differentially increase hypertension or dyslipidaemia risk in people with HIV receiving INSTIs, tenofovir alafenamide, or both versus other contemporary regimens. METHODS: This multicentre, prospective observational study analysed prospective data from RESPOND, an international consortium of HIV cohorts for which recruitment began in 2017 and is still ongoing from HIV clinics and hospitals in 37 European countries and Australia. Participants were eligible if they were aged 18 years or older, receiving INSTI-containing antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens or a contemporary non-INSTI, did not have hypertension or dyslipidaemia at baseline, and had baseline and at least two follow-up BMI, lipid, and blood pressure measurements. We excluded participants without baseline CD4 or HIV RNA results and those receiving non-ART medications associated with weight changes, including antipsychotics and mood stabilisers, corticosteroids, insulin, and insulin secretagogues. They were followed up from baseline until the earliest hypertension or dyslipidaemia event, their last visit, or Dec 31, 2021, whichever was earlier. The primary outcomes were incidence of hypertension and dyslipidaemia, for which we used multivariable Poisson regression adjusted for time-updated BMI to determine unadjusted and adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of hypertension and dyslipidaemia in people receiving INSTIs, tenofovir alafenamide, or both, and tested for interaction between time-updated ART regimen and BMI. FINDINGS: Of the 35 941 RESPOND participants, 9704 (7327 [75·5 %] male and 2377 [24·5%] female) were included in the hypertension analysis and 5231 (3796 [72·6%] male and 1435 [27·4%] female) were included in the dyslipidaemia analysis. In the univariable model, hypertension was more common in individuals receiving an INSTI with tenofovir alafenamide (IRR 1·70, 95% CI 1·54-1·88) or an INSTI without tenofovir alafenamide (1·41, 1·30-1·53) compared with those receiving neither INSTIs nor tenofovir alafenamide. Adjustment for time-updated BMI and confounders attenuated risk in participants receiving an INSTI with (IRR 1·48, 1·31-1·68) or without (1·25, 1·13-1·39) tenofovir alafenamide. Similarly, dyslipidaemia was more common in participants using tenofovir alafenamide with an INSTI (IRR 1·24, 1·10-1·40) and tenofovir alafenamide alone (1·22, 1·03-1·44) than in participants using neither INSTI nor tenofovir alafenamide. Adjustment for BMI and confounders attenuated the risk in participants receiving tenofovir alafenamide with an INSTI (adjusted IRR 1·21, 1·07-1·37), whereas the risk in those receiving tenofovir alafenamide alone became non-significant (1·15, 0·96-1·38). The associations between increasing BMI and risk of hypertension and dyslipidaemia did not differ between participants receiving different ART regimens (pinteraction=0·46 for hypertension; pinteraction=0·31 for dyslipidaemia). INTERPRETATION: Although residual confounding cannot be entirely excluded, the use of INSTIs was associated with incident hypertension, and the use of tenofovir alafenamide was associated with dyslipidaemia, with the latter association partly mediated by weight gain. These results reiterate the need for hypertension and dyslipidaemia screening in people with HIV. FUNDING: The CHU St Pierre Brussels HIV Cohort, The Austrian HIV Cohort Study, The Australian HIV Observational Database, The AIDS Therapy Evaluation in the Netherlands national observational HIV cohort, The Brighton HIV Cohort, The National Croatian HIV Cohort, The EuroSIDA cohort, The Frankfurt HIV Cohort Study, The Georgian National AIDS Health Information System, The Nice HIV Cohort, The ICONA Foundation, The Modena HIV Cohort, The PISCIS Cohort Study, The Swiss HIV Cohort Study, The Swedish InfCare HIV Cohort, The Royal Free HIV Cohort Study, The San Raffaele Scientific Institute, The University Hospital Bonn HIV Cohort, The University of Cologne HIV Cohort, Merck Life Sciences, ViiV Healthcare, and Gilead Sciences.

The influence of immunodeficiency, disease features, and patient characteristics on survival in plasmablastic lymphoma.

ABSTRACT: Plasmablastic lymphoma (PBL) is a rare and aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma associated with immunodeficiency, characterized by uncertain treatment approaches and an unfavorable prognosis. We conducted a multicenter, international, retrospective cohort study, aiming to characterize the clinical features, risk factors, and outcomes of patients with PBL. Data were collected from 22 institutions across 4 countries regarding patients diagnosed with PBL between 1 January 1999 and 31 December 2020. Survival risk factors were analyzed using both univariate and multivariate regression models. Overall survival (OS) was calculated using Kaplan-Meier statistics. First-line treatment regimens were stratified into standard- and higher-intensity regimens, and based on whether they incorporated a proteasome inhibitor (PI). A total of 281 patients (median age, 55 years) were included. Immunodeficiency of any kind was identified in 144 patients (51%), and 99 patients (35%) had HIV-positive results. The 5-year OS for the entire cohort was 36% (95% confidence interval, 30%-42%). In multivariate analysis, inferior OS was associated with Epstein-Barr virus-negative lymphoma, poor performance status, advanced stage, and bone marrow involvement. In an independent univariate analysis, the international prognostic index was associated with OS outcomes. Neither immunosuppression nor HIV infection, specifically, influenced OS. Among patients treated with curative intent (n = 234), the overall response rate was 72%. Neither the intensity of the treatment regimen nor the inclusion of PIs in first-line therapy was associated with OS. In this large retrospective study of patients with PBL, we identified novel risk factors for survival. PBL remains a challenging disease with poor long-term outcomes.

Clinical and laboratory features of COVID-19 illness and outcomes in immunocompromised individuals during the first pandemic wave in Sydney, Australia.

People with immunocompromising conditions are at increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality, however early in the pandemic it was challenging to collate data on this heterogenous population. We conducted a registry study of immunocompromised individuals with polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from March-October 2020 in Sydney, Australia to understand clinical and laboratory outcomes in this population prior to the emergence of the Delta variant. 27 participants were enrolled into the study including people with a haematologic oncologic conditions (n = 12), secondary immunosuppression (N = 8) and those with primary or acquired immunodeficiency (i.e. HIV; N = 7). All participants had symptomatic COVID-19 with the most common features being cough (64%), fever (52%) and headache (40%). Five patients demonstrated delayed SARS-CoV-2 clearance lasting three weeks to three months. The mortality rate in this study was 7% compared to 1.3% in the state of New South Wales Australia during the same period. This study provides data from the first eight months of the pandemic on COVID-19 outcomes in at-risk patient groups.

Determinants of passive antibody efficacy in SARS-CoV-2 infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Randomised controlled trials of passive antibodies as treatment and prophylaxis for COVID-19 have reported variable efficacy. However, the determinants of efficacy have not been identified. We aimed to assess how the dose and timing of administration affect treatment outcome. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we extracted data from published studies of passive antibody treatment from Jan 1, 2019, to Jan 31, 2023, that were identified by searching multiple databases, including MEDLINE, PubMed, and ClinicalTrials.gov. We included only randomised controlled trials of passive antibody administration for the prevention or treatment of COVID-19. To compare administered antibody dose between different treatments, we used data on in-vitro neutralisation titres to normalise dose by antibody potency. We used mixed-effects regression and model fitting to analyse the relationship between timing, dose and efficacy. FINDINGS: We found 58 randomised controlled trials that investigated passive antibody therapies for the treatment or prevention of COVID-19. Earlier clinical stage at treatment initiation was highly predictive of the efficacy of both monoclonal antibodies (p<0·0001) and convalescent plasma therapy (p=0·030) in preventing progression to subsequent stages, with either prophylaxis or treatment in outpatients showing the greatest effects. For the treatment of outpatients with COVID-19, we found a significant association between the dose administered and efficacy in preventing hospitalisation (relative risk 0·77; p<0·0001). Using this relationship, we predicted that no approved monoclonal antibody was expected to provide more than 30% efficacy against some omicron (B.1.1.529) subvariants, such as BQ.1.1. INTERPRETATION: Early administration before hospitalisation and sufficient doses of passive antibody therapy are crucial to achieving high efficacy in preventing clinical progression. The relationship between dose and efficacy provides a framework for the rational assessment of future passive antibody prophylaxis and treatment strategies for COVID-19. FUNDING: The Australian Government Department of Health, Medical Research Future Fund, National Health and Medical Research Council, the University of New South Wales, Monash University, Haematology Society of Australia and New Zealand, Leukaemia Foundation, and the Victorian Government.

Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia Australasian consensus practice statement.

Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) is the most common haematological malignancy in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ). Considerable changes to diagnostic and management algorithms have occurred within the last decade. The availability of next-generation sequencing and measurable residual disease assessment by flow cytometry allow for advanced prognostication and response assessments. Novel therapies, including inhibitors of Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTKi) and B-cell lymphoma 2 (BCL2) inhibitors, have transformed the treatment landscape for both treatment-naïve and relapsed/refractory disease, particularly for patients with high-risk genetic aberrations. Recommendations regarding appropriate supportive management continue to evolve, and special considerations are required for patients with CLL with respect to the global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. The unique funding and treatment environments in Australasia highlight the need for specific local guidance with respect to the investigation and management of CLL. This consensus practice statement was developed by a broadly representative group of ANZ experts in CLL with endorsement by peak haematology bodies, with a view to providing this standardised guidance.

Associations of functional human leucocyte antigen class I groups with HIV viral load in a heterogeneous cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Human leucocyte antigen (HLA) class I alleles are the main host genetic factors involved in controlling HIV-1 viral load (VL). Nevertheless, HLA diversity has proven a significant challenge in association studies. We assessed how accounting for binding affinities of HLA class I alleles to HIV-1 peptides facilitate association testing of HLA with HIV-1 VL in a heterogeneous cohort. DESIGN: Cohort from the Strategic Timing of AntiRetroviral Treatment (START) study. METHODS: We imputed HLA class I alleles from host genetic data (2546 HIV+ participants) and sampled immunopeptidomes from 2079 host-paired viral genomes (targeted amplicon sequencing). We predicted HLA class I binding affinities to HIV-1 and unspecific peptides, grouping alleles into functional clusters through consensus clustering. These functional HLA class I clusters were used to test associations with HIV VL. RESULTS: We identified four clades totaling 30 HLA alleles accounting for 11.4% variability in VL. We highlight HLA-B∗57:01 and B∗57:03 as functionally similar but yet overrepresented in distinct ethnic groups, showing when combined a protective association with HIV+ VL (log, ß -0.25; adj. P-value < 0.05). We further demonstrate only a slight power reduction when using unspecific immunopeptidomes, facilitating the use of the inferred functional HLA groups in other studies. CONCLUSION: The outlined computational approach provides a robust and efficient way to incorporate HLA function and peptide diversity, aiding clinical association studies in heterogeneous cohorts. To facilitate access to the proposed methods and results we provide an interactive application for exploring data.

Monoclonal antibody levels and protection from COVID-19.

Multiple monoclonal antibodies have been shown to be effective for both prophylaxis and therapy for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Here we aggregate data from randomized controlled trials assessing the use of monoclonal antibodies (mAb) in preventing symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. We use data on the in vivo concentration of mAb and the associated protection from COVID-19 over time to model the dose-response relationship of mAb for prophylaxis. We estimate that 50% protection from COVID-19 is achieved with a mAb concentration of 96-fold of the in vitro IC50 (95% CI: 32-285). This relationship provides a tool for predicting the prophylactic efficacy of new mAb and against SARS-CoV-2 variants. Finally, we compare the relationship between neutralization titer and protection from COVID-19 after either mAb treatment or vaccination. We find no significant difference between the 50% protective titer for mAb and vaccination, although sample sizes limited the power to detect a difference.

Immunophenotypic analysis in participants with Kaposi sarcoma following pomalidomide administration.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate baseline differences by HIV status and the impact of pomalidomide on lymphocyte counts and T-cell subsets in patients with Kaposi sarcoma. DESIGN: We prospectively evaluated CD4 + and CD8 + T-cell phenotypes in 19 participants with Kaposi sarcoma enrolled on a phase 1/2 study of pomalidomide (NCT01495598), seven without HIV and 12 with HIV on antiretroviral therapy. METHODS: Trial participants received pomalidomide 5 mg orally for 21 days of 28-day cycles for up to 1 year. Flow cytometry was performed on peripheral blood mononuclear cells at baseline, after three cycles, and at end-of-treatment. Lymphocyte count and T-cell subset comparisons were evaluated by Wilcoxon signed-rank and Mann--Whitney tests. RESULTS: At baseline, HIV + participants had lower CD4 + cell counts (median 416 vs. 742 CD4 + T cells/µl, P  = 0.006), and a decreased proportion of CD57 + (senescent) CD8 + T cells ( P  = 0.007) compared with HIV - participants. After three cycles, pomalidomide led to an increased proportion of CD45RO + CD27 + (central memory) CD4 + ( P  = 0.002) and CD8 + ( P  = 0.002) T cells, a decrease in CD45RO - CD27 - (effector) CD4 + cells ( P  = 0.0002), and expansion of CD38 + /HLADR + (activated) CD4 + ( P  = 0.002) and CD8 + ( P  ≤ 0.0001) T cells. Increased numbers of activated CD8 + T cells persisted at end-of-treatment ( P  = 0.002). After three cycles and at end-of-treatment, there was reduction in the proportion of CD57 + (senescent) CD4 + ( P  = 0.001, 0.0006), and CD8 + ( P  =  < 0.0001, 0.0004) T cells. CONCLUSION: Administration of pomalidomide decreased T-cell senescence and increased T-cell activation in patients with Kaposi sarcoma, suggesting pomalidomide activity in Kaposi sarcoma stems in part from its immunomodulatory effects.

Outcomes of human immunodeficiency virus-associated Burkitt lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma treated in Australia: A report from the Australasian Lymphoma Alliance.

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has improved outcomes for human immunodeficiency virus-associated non-Hodgkin lymphoma (HIV-NHL). This is an analysis of 44 patients with HIV with Burkitt lymphoma (HIV-BL) and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (HIV-DLBCL) treated in Australia over a 10-year period (2009-2019) during the ART and rituximab era. At HIV-NHL diagnosis, the majority of presenting patients had adequate CD4 counts and undetectable HIV viral load <50 copies/mL. More than 80% of patients received chemotherapy with curative intent, rituximab, and concurrent ART with chemotherapy (immunotherapy). R-CODOX-M/IVAC or R-Hyper-CVAD (55%) were most commonly used in HIV-BL. CHOP (58%) was the most commonly used chemotherapy backbone for HIV-DLBCL, although 45% of patients received more intense chemotherapy regimens. Overall, 93% of patients who received curative therapy completed their intended course. The 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) for the HIV-BL cohort was 67% and 67% respectively. The 2-year PFS and OS for the HIV-DLBCL cohort was 77% and 81% respectively. Treatment related mortality was 5%. In all, 83% of patients achieved a CD4 count of >0.2 ×109 /L 6 months after the end of treatment. Current Australian practice favours the treatment of HIV-BL and HIV-DLBCL similarly to the HIV-negative population with the use of concurrent ART, achieving outcomes comparable to the HIV-negative population.

Prevalence and incidence of hypertension in a heavily treatment-experienced cohort of people living with HIV in Uganda.

INTRODUCTION: The effect of long-term exposure to antiretroviral therapy (ART) on hypertension in sub-Saharan Africa remains unclear. We aimed to determine the prevalence and incidence of hypertension in people living with HIV (PLWH) with more than 10 years of ART in Uganda. METHODS: The analysis was performed within a cohort of adult PLWH with more than 10 years of ART at an HIV clinic in Kampala, Uganda. Participants were eligible for this analysis if they had ≥2 follow-up visits. Hypertension was defined as two consecutive systolic blood pressure (SBP) measures greater than 140 mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) greater than 90 mmHg, and/or documented diagnosis and/or the initiation of antihypertensives. We determined the proportion of PLWH with hypertension at baseline and used multivariable logistic regression to determine the factors associated with prevalent hypertension. To determine the incidence of hypertension, follow-up began from the cohort baseline date and was censored at the last clinic visit or date of the event, whichever occurred earlier. Multivariable Poisson regression was used to determine the adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) of hypertension according to demographic, ART, and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: Of the 1000 ALT participants, 970 (97%) had ≥2 follow-up visits, and 237 (24.4%) had hypertension at baseline. The odds of prevalent hypertension were 1.18 for every 5-year increase in age (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.34) and were higher among males (aOR 1.70, 95% CI 1.20-2.34), participants with diabetes mellitus (aOR 2.37, 95% CI 1.10-4.01), obesity (aOR 1.99, 95% CI 1.08-3.60), high cholesterol (aOR 1.47, 95% CI 1.16-2.01), and those with prior exposure to stavudine (aOR 2.10, 95% CI 1.35-3.52), or nevirapine (aOR 1.90, 95% CI 1.25-3.01). Of the 733 participants without hypertension at baseline, 116 (15.83%) developed hypertension during 4671.3 person-years of follow-up (incidence rate 24.8 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI 20.7-29.8). The factors associated with incident hypertension were obesity (adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 1.80, 95% CI 1.40-2.81), older age (aIRR 1.12 per 5-year increase in age, 95% CI 1.10,1.25), and renal insufficiency (aIRR1.80, 95% CI 1.40-2.81). CONCLUSION: The prevalence and incidence of hypertension were high in this heavily treated PLWH cohort. Therefore, with increasing ART coverage, HIV programs in SSA should strengthen the screening for hypertension in heavily treated PLWH.

Second Primary Cancers in People With HIV/AIDS: A National Data Linkage Study of Incidence and Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND: Evidence regarding the characteristics of second primary cancer (SPC) in people living with HIV (PLWHIV) is limited. SETTING: We performed a national population-based data linkage study to determine the incidence and risk factors of SPC in PLWHIV in Australia between 1982 and 2012. METHODS: We conducted a probabilistic data linkage study to compare the incidence of SPC over time, defined using HIV treatment eras, for SPCs related to oncogenic viral infection in comparison with non-infection-related SPCs. Risk factors considered included age at diagnosis of cancer, sex, HIV exposure modality, and CD4 + count. RESULTS: Of 29,383 individuals diagnosed with HIV, 3123 individuals who developed a first primary cancer were included in the analysis. Among them, 229 cases of SPC were identified across 27,398 person-years of follow-up. The most common SPCs were non-Hodgkin lymphomas (n = 71, 31%). The incidence of SPC overall did not change over time; however, there was an increase in individuals diagnosed with HIV in later eras ( P trend =0.001). The incidence of non-infection-related SPC increased over time and was associated with older age ( P trend = 0.005) and the acquisition of HIV in later eras ( P trend <0.001). Conversely, the incidence of infection-related SPC decreased ( P trend <0.001), but this was no longer significant after adjustment for age ( P trend = 0.14). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of SPC in PLWHIV in Australia remains high, with a temporal increase observed in non-infection-related cancer, likely due to aging of the population. Optimal screening and prevention strategies for SPC in PLWHIV are increasingly important.

Investigation of Causal Effects of Protein Biomarkers on Cardiovascular Disease in Persons With HIV.

BACKGROUND: There is an incompletely understood increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people with HIV (PWH). We investigated if a collection of biomarkers were associated with CVD among PWH. Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to identify potentially causal associations. METHODS: Data from follow-up in 4 large trials among PWH were used to identify 131 incident CVD cases and they were matched to 259 participants without incident CVD (controls). Tests of associations between 460 baseline protein levels and case status were conducted. RESULTS: Univariate analysis found CLEC6A, HGF, IL-6, IL-10RB, and IGFBP7 as being associated with case status and a multivariate model identified 3 of these: CLEC6A (odds ratio [OR] = 1.48, P = .037), HGF (OR = 1.83, P = .012), and IL-6 (OR = 1.45, P = .016). MR methods identified 5 significantly associated proteins: AXL, CHI3L1, GAS6, IL-6RA, and SCGB3A2. CONCLUSIONS: These results implicate inflammatory and fibrotic processes as contributing to CVD. While some of these biomarkers are well established in the general population and in PWH (IL-6 and its receptor), some are novel to PWH (HGF, AXL, and GAS6) and some are novel overall (CLEC6A). Further investigation into the uniqueness of these biomarkers in PWH and the role of these biomarkers as targets among PWH is warranted.

Contribution of mutant HSC clones to immature and mature cells in MDS and CMML, and variations with AZA therapy.

Myelodysplastic neoplasms (MDSs) and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) are clonal disorders driven by progressively acquired somatic mutations in hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs). Hypomethylating agents (HMAs) can modify the clinical course of MDS and CMML. Clinical improvement does not require eradication of mutated cells and may be related to improved differentiation capacity of mutated HSCs. However, in patients with established disease it is unclear whether (1) HSCs with multiple mutations progress through differentiation with comparable frequency to their less mutated counterparts or (2) improvements in peripheral blood counts following HMA therapy are driven by residual wild-type HSCs or by clones with particular combinations of mutations. To address these questions, the somatic mutations of individual stem cells, progenitors (common myeloid progenitors, granulocyte monocyte progenitors, and megakaryocyte erythroid progenitors), and matched circulating hematopoietic cells (monocytes, neutrophils, and naïve B cells) in MDS and CMML were characterized via high-throughput single-cell genotyping, followed by bulk analysis in immature and mature cells before and after AZA treatment. The mutational burden was similar throughout differentiation, with even the most mutated stem and progenitor clones maintaining their capacity to differentiate to mature cell types in vivo. Increased contributions from productive mutant progenitors appear to underlie improved hematopoiesis in MDS following HMA therapy.

Association between ten-eleven methylcytosine dioxygenase 2 genetic variation and viral load in people with HIV.

INTRODUCTION: Identifying genetic factors that influence HIV-pathogenesis is critical for understanding disease pathways. Previous studies have suggested a role for the human gene ten-eleven methylcytosine dioxygenase 2 (TET2) in modulating HIV-pathogenesis. METHODS: We assessed whether genetic variation in TET2 was associated with markers of HIV-pathogenesis using both gene level and single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) level association in 8512 HIV-positive persons across five clinical trial cohorts. RESULTS: Variation at both the gene and SNP-level of TET2 was found to be associated with levels of HIV viral load (HIV-VL) consistently in the two cohorts that recruited antiretroviral-naïve participants. The SNPs occurred in two clusters of high linkage disequilibrium (LD), one associated with high HIV-VL and the other low HIV-VL, and were predominantly found in Black participants. CONCLUSION: Genetic variation in TET2 was associated with HIV-VL in two large antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive clinical trial cohorts. The role of TET2 in HIV-pathogenesis warrants further investigation.

Deconstructing the liquid architecture of human herpesvirus 8 diseases.

Human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8), also called Kaposi sarcoma herspesvirus (KSHV), causes several human tumours, which may be associated with systemic inflammation and body cavity effusions, including a form of multicentric Castleman disease (MCD) and a novel inflammatory syndrome, KSHV inflammatory cytokine syndrome (KICS). In this issue, Zhou et al. demonstrate that HHV-8-infected lambda-restricted plasmablasts can be detected in these effusions and can be used to distinguish MCD from other HHV-8 tumours as well as to categorise KICS into distinct clinicopathological groups. These findings open a path to an integrated clinicopathological approach to HHV-8-associated inflammatory diseases and may have clinical implications. Commentary on: Zhou et al. A novel approach for characterisation of KSHV-associated multicentric Castleman disease from effusions. Br J Haematol 2023;200:462-475.

The Health Gym: synthetic health-related datasets for the development of reinforcement learning algorithms.

In recent years, the machine learning research community has benefited tremendously from the availability of openly accessible benchmark datasets. Clinical data are usually not openly available due to their confidential nature. This has hampered the development of reproducible and generalisable machine learning applications in health care. Here we introduce the Health Gym - a growing collection of highly realistic synthetic medical datasets that can be freely accessed to prototype, evaluate, and compare machine learning algorithms, with a specific focus on reinforcement learning. The three synthetic datasets described in this paper present patient cohorts with acute hypotension and sepsis in the intensive care unit, and people with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) receiving antiretroviral therapy. The datasets were created using a novel generative adversarial network (GAN). The distributions of variables, and correlations between variables and trends in variables over time in the synthetic datasets mirror those in the real datasets. Furthermore, the risk of sensitive information disclosure associated with the public distribution of the synthetic datasets is estimated to be very low.

Adaption of an ongoing clinical trial to quickly respond to gaps in changing international recommendations: the experience of D2EFT.

A rapidly changing landscape of antiretrovirals and their procurement at scale has permitted the evaluation of new optimised second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in low- and middle-income countries. D2EFT is an open-label randomised controlled non-inferiority phase IIIB/IV trial in people living with HIV-1 (PWH) whose first-line non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based ART is failing. At inception, it compared a standard of care of boosted darunavir with two nucleos(t)ide reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) to the novel NRTI-sparing regimen of boosted darunavir with dolutegravir. Implemented in 2017, participating sites were across Africa, Asia and Latin America. Around the time of implementation, the World Health Organization updated its treatment guidelines and recommended scaling up tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-lamivudine-dolutegravir (TLD). This situation pushed D2EFT investigators to consider the impact of the roll-out of TLD on the D2EFT research question. The protocol team agreed it was important to study TLD in second-line when an NNRTI regimen was failing, and focused on options to expedite the work by studying the question within the existing trial and network. All key issues (statistical, programmatic and financial) were reviewed to assess the benefits and risks of adding a third arm to the ongoing study, as opposed to developing a new randomised clinical trial with the same control arm and within the same network. The development of a new trial was deemed to be longer than adding a third arm, and to create a challenging situation with two competing clinical trials at the same sites which would slow down recruitment and impair both trials. On the other hand, adding a third arm would be demanding in terms of operationalisation, increased sample size and statistical biases to control. The optimal strategy was deemed to be the addition of a third arm, arriving retrospectively at a simplified multi-arm multi-stage clinical trial design to achieve statistical validity. The D2EFT study maintains additional value in a quickly evolving second-line ART strategy allowed by the progress in global access to ART.